Meanwhile, recruiters for PMC Wagner have once again started approaching prisoners to fight in Ukraine, but there are ten times fewer people willing to go now compared to the first wave of recruitment. A video of a former prisoner being beaten with a sledgehammer was released in November and it was predicted that this would result in fewer people joining PMC Wagner. An expected offensive by Russia is thought to be limited to the territories of Donetsk and Lugansk regions, with the main target being the Donbass area. The Russian offensive is expected to focus on capturing the Svatovo-Kremennaya line and the south of the Donetsk region. Despite reinforcing the front line with manpower, the quality of new equipment remains low, with paratroopers and marines being the main striking force. It would be advantageous for the Ukrainians to wait for the Russian offensive, hold it back and then advance, but they may feel that time is working against them and choose to go on the offensive instead. Western equipment promised to Ukraine will not arrive in sufficient time but can be replenished later. The US is planning to impose 200% duties on imports of Russian-made aluminum in an attempt to put pressure on Moscow ahead of the anniversary of the invasion of Ukraine. This move has been under consideration for months, but there are concerns about the damage it may cause to American industries, and President Biden has not yet given approval. Russia supplies around 10% of total US aluminum imports and is the second largest metal producer globally. The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) has announced the arrest of a military official who was acting as a Russian agent and has been charged with state treason.