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Putin’s Double Dilemma: Fuel and Energy Meeting Postponed

Elite Uncertainty Grips Russia


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Kremlin’s Relentless Disinformation Campaign

The Kremlin persists in orchestrating a relentless campaign of disinformation and propaganda, deploying tactics with unprecedented vigor. The meticulously designed sanctions, intended to cripple the Kremlin’s financial backbone sustaining its military pursuits, have glaringly stumbled. The Kremlin’s propaganda machinery earnestly endeavors to convince the global audience of this narrative, presenting a bold claim that seeks to defy reality. This audacious assertion finds staunch support from individuals in the West who, driven by financial motives, betray their loyalties. One can only hope that the Kremlin’s resolute proclamations arise from genuine conviction rather than being scripted down from individuals less astute than those uttering such propagandist rhetoric. The acknowledgment that sanctions have failed to significantly curtail the war’s trajectory is emerging, a notion bordering on absolute absurdity given the substantial damage the sanctions have inflicted upon the Russian economy.


Putin’s Proxy Agenda Contracts

A recent Wall Street Journal editorial, published a few days ago and provocatively titled “It’s Time to End Magical Thinking About Russia’s Defeat,” forthrightly acknowledges the shortcomings of the imposed sanctions. The paradoxical nature of this article verges on the comical, a facet that would be amusing were it not for the grave reality it underscores. Yesterday’s planned meeting on the fuel and energy complex, involving an individual identified as “Putin,” experienced a delay. It has consistently been conveyed that, post the demise of Russian President Vladimir Putin, the agenda involving a doppelgänger would significantly contract. This is presently unfolding as expected. Numerous events scheduled for this proxy “Putin” until year-end have been canceled.


Patrushev Fears Doppelgänger Risks

Under the guidance of Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev and his associates, the present Russian administration voices apprehensions concerning elevated risks linked to the recurrent use of a doppelgänger. Recent lapses in the double’s performance, including contracting Covid, untimely cosmetic issues, and off-script remarks misaligned with Putin’s demeanor, magnify these concerns. Consequently, Patrushev actively promotes his son, Dmitry, as a potential successor within the aligned elite circles. While these efforts yield specific outcomes, a definitive decision is still pending. In a recent development, Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev conducted a video-linked session with leaders of the security bloc. Apart from designating overseers for the financial and economic sectors and directing the update of “strategically important” enterprises for nationalization, Patrushev voiced discontent with Armenia’s Prime Minister, Nikol Pashinyan.


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Patrushev Confronts Pashinyan

Patrushev asserts that Pashinyan has successfully dismantled the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), posing an internal destabilization threat preceding presidential elections. Despite robust objections voiced during the session, Russian authorities find themselves without substantial leverage over Pashinyan. Patrushev is slated to confer with former associates of the late President Vladimir Putin concerning the fate of individuals like Mishustin and Sobyanin in the second tier of Russian political elites. Post the late President’s demise, Alina Kabaeva, his common-law wife, is effectively under house arrest with heightened security measures. Despite initial plans for a public appearance, her constrained freedom remains conspicuous. Falling out of favor with Patrushev, she now encounters a lack of influence and prospects. In the aftermath of Putin’s departure, Nikolai Patrushev has assumed a prominent role in the information domain, consistently delivering noteworthy speeches and statements.


The Unseen Force Shaping Russia’s Political Landscape

Notably, Patrushev, rather than the double portraying the “president,” emerges as the de facto head of state—a transition discerned by insightful observers of Russian political dynamics. This subtle coup orchestrated by Patrushev seemingly aligns with the interests of diverse stakeholders, both domestically and internationally. Yesterday, the double, purportedly the Russian President, conducted an operational meeting with permanent members of the Russian Security Council via videoconference. Despite the lack of media coverage, Patrushev conspicuously disregarded the event. Events and meetings featuring the “president” are deemed unremarkable and of little interest, mere months before the country is set to re-elect “Putin” for another presidential term. The unfolding scenario suggests that, contrary to the interests of the elites, Patrushev may be orchestrating a “successor” operation.


Patrushev Monitors Global Dynamics

In a distinct development, a doppelgänger resembling Putin presided over a meeting with representatives of Russian election commissions. The impersonator performed satisfactorily, dispelling concerns raised by supervisors. Post the meeting, Patrushev received a briefing on the double’s commendable behavior. The de facto authority in Russia, Secretary of the Russian Security Council Nikolai Patrushev, awaited the results of negotiations between US President Joseph Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Patrushev anticipates potential challenges arising from the increasing proximity between the United States and China. This convergence poses a threat to the Russian government, strategically aligned with the East, potentially making Russia a pawn in the unfolding negotiations of the global order. Amidst swift changes, Russia, under its present leadership, grapples with the difficulty of maintaining an independent stance, risking potential subordination to China.




Understanding Recent Developments in Russian Politics

What challenges is the current Russian administration facing regarding a key figure referred to as “Putin”?

The Russian administration, led by Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev, is grappling with concerns related to the frequent use of a double impersonating “Putin.” Recent issues, such as health problems, cosmetic concerns, and off-script comments, intensify these worries.

Is there a successor in consideration within Russian elite circles?

Yes, Patrushev actively advocates for his son, Dmitry, as a potential successor among aligned elites. While these efforts yield outcomes, a final decision is still pending.

How is Russia navigating challenges in its security bloc and international relations?

Patrushev recently expressed dissatisfaction with Armenia’s Prime Minister, alleging the dismantling of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). Despite objections, Russian authorities find themselves lacking leverage.

What is the status of Alina Kabaeva, the common-law wife of the late President?

Post the late President’s demise, Alina Kabaeva is effectively under house arrest with enhanced security. Falling out of favor with Patrushev, she faces a lack of influence and prospects.

How has Patrushev assumed a prominent role in Russian politics post-Putin’s departure?

Patrushev emerges as the de facto head of state, orchestrating a subtle coup that aligns with the interests of various stakeholders domestically and internationally.

What insights do we have into Russia’s global positioning amid negotiations between the US and China?

Patrushev, awaiting outcomes of US-China negotiations, anticipates challenges. Russia, strategically aligned with the East, faces the risk of becoming a pawn in evolving global order negotiations, potentially risking subordination to China.


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