US and EU’s Swift Response to Putin’s Agenda
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The European Union and the United States are making preparations for the logistical stage of a conflict with the Russian Federation. The US National Intelligence Report indicates this development clearly. The Biden administration and its European partners are escalating their support to Ukraine in order to counter Putin’s strategy of prolonging hostilities. Regarding the US National Intelligence report, Director Haynes presented some noteworthy points during her speech to Congress:Military Weakness
We do not expect the Russian military to regain enough strength to achieve significant territorial gains this year.
Putin believes that prolonging the war may be his best strategy, even if it takes years.
Mobilization Planning
The report covers Russian calculations for future mobilizations and potential third-party sources of ammunition.
Military Stalemate
The war in Ukraine has devolved into a brutal war of attrition in which neither side possesses a decisive military advantage.
The effectiveness of Ukraine’s spring offensive will depend on the level of support for its Armed Forces and the number of casualties.
Avril Haines
Avril Haines is breaking barriers as the first female Director of National Intelligence in the Biden administration. With an impressive background as the Deputy National Security Advisor and Deputy Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) in the Obama administration, Haines is an experienced lawyer and senior government official. She also served as the Deputy Counsel to the President for National Security Affairs in the Office of White House Counsel. Haines’ leadership and expertise are invaluable as she continues to serve at the forefront of national security and intelligence operations.
Ukrainian Minister of Defense Oleksiy Reznikov expressed the need for 1 million 155-mm and 105-mm shells (valued at around €4 billion) as soon as possible, stating that air defense systems and ammunition are top priorities to ensure Ukraine is ready for a counteroffensive. Estonia has offered to provide the necessary ammunition, with EU defense ministers already discussing and expecting to adopt the initiative this month. The US Army is increasing its production capacity of 155-mm shells from 14,000 to 30,000 this spring, with plans to output 90,000 per month. Production of other ammunition is also set to increase. Our partners emphasized the importance of time, and the decision regarding the F-16 is nearing maturity. In simple terms, the US and the EU are not willing to support Putin’s agenda of prolonging the war. Instead, they are committed to helping the Armed Forces achieve victory swiftly, within this year. Remarkably, Brussels and Washington have joined this effort with unprecedented speed.