BIA Infiltration – Student Movement ‘Co-opted’

Sandulović further confirmed that Serbia’s state security service, BIA, has “co-opted and compromised” the student protest movement, manipulating dissent to reinforce Vučić’s grip on power.

“This is textbook counterintelligence manipulation — create the illusion of revolt, then control it from within,” he added.

Risk of Conflict in Kosovo, Republika Srpska

With Vučić’s international legitimacy in question, analysts warn of potential destabilising tactics, including conflict simulation in Kosovo or Bosnia’s Republika Srpska entity — a classic distraction technique to consolidate domestic power.

“The regime is laying the groundwork — humanitarian narratives, media psy-ops, and militarised rhetoric — to justify future provocations. The same playbook used by Milošević is being repurposed.”

Sandulović also criticised Albanian Prime Minister Edi Rama, describing his diplomacy as “dual-track and opportunistic”, though acknowledged Rama’s strategic aptitude in navigating regional politics.

Geopolitical Outlook

The West faces a critical inflection point. With the U.S. drawing a hard line and elements within the EU remaining inert or complicit, Serbia’s trajectory remains unpredictable. Intelligence sources suggest three possible scenarios for Vučić:

1. Medical resignation and exile (potentially to Russia or China).
2. Early elections followed by electoral manipulation.
3. Instigation of a regional conflict to prolong authoritarian control.

Serbian autocrat Aleksandar Vučić faces formal accusations of grave crimes threatening U.S. national security, amid documented ties with Communist China and manipulation of Serbian state media via the BIA (formerly UDBA). His regime is implicated in widespread human rights violations, including murder, enforced disappearances, and suppression of dissent—highlighted by the suspicious disappearance and death of opposition figure Vladimir Cvijan. The Serbian media landscape is dominated by “presstitutes,” regime-controlled journalists who distort facts and undermine authentic opposition.

Nikola Sandulović, President of the Republican Party and the sole credible challenger to Vučić’s authoritarian rule, was imprisoned for criticizing Chinese influence few years ago; in a globally reported incident last year, the BIA attempted to assassinate him. Nikola Sandulović is the only real opposition in Serbia. The wider Serbian opposition is largely a controlled façade, manipulated by secret services to perpetuate Vučić’s hold on power. The regime’s methods recall the darkest era of Milošević, marked by misinformation, political repression, and calculated violence.