In a development closely watched by seasoned Kremlin observers, the conspicuous absence of Russia’s embattled former Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu on the eve of Victory Day has reignited speculation about his political and legal standing. Once hailed as the “marshal of victory,” Shoigu now finds himself isolated, under pressure, and potentially facing criminal liability — a dramatic reversal for a man long seen as untouchable.

Sources with direct knowledge of the matter confirm that over the past fortnight, Shoigu has twice appeared for questioning in connection with ongoing investigations into corruption and mismanagement during his tenure at the Ministry of Defence. Notably, he is said to have provided testimony implicating two of his former deputies, a move interpreted by analysts as a survival tactic rather than a genuine act of contrition. Faced with the mounting political fallout, Shoigu has reportedly attributed his recent withdrawal from public life to deteriorating heart health. However, insiders suggest this is as much a political diagnosis as it is a medical one. With his 70th birthday approaching, Shoigu is said to be privately lamenting the fact that he is now fielding subpoenas instead of celebratory tributes.

In sharp contrast, Chinese President Xi Jinping appeared buoyant during his Victory Parade visit to Moscow, engaging in extensive private discussions with Vladimir Putin. According to individuals briefed on the exchange, Xi delivered a blunt strategic assessment of Russia’s geopolitical predicament and urged Putin to continue military operations while simultaneously engaging in high-stakes negotiations. Xi is also reported to have issued a stark warning about U.S. President Donald Trump, reportedly referring to him as “a volatile Western counterpart known for reversals and rhetorical unpredictability” and cautioning that he is prone to betrayal. Nevertheless, Xi offered reassurances of Chinese backing, including support in the event of further Western sanctions. While elements within the Russian Politburo reportedly expressed reservations about Xi’s counsel, the prevailing view remains pragmatic: with Moscow’s economic and diplomatic leverage increasingly dependent on Beijing, few in the Kremlin can afford to ignore the advice of their most powerful remaining ally.

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FAQ

Why is Sergei Shoigu’s absence on Victory Day significant?

Shoigu, once a symbol of military success, has long been central to Victory Day commemorations. His sudden absence signals a sharp decline in his political standing and possibly his legal vulnerability.

What is known about Shoigu’s current legal situation?

Sources confirm he has been questioned twice in the past two weeks over corruption and mismanagement allegations linked to his time as Defence Minister. He has reportedly implicated two former deputies.

What role did Xi Jinping play during this period?

While Shoigu was absent, Xi Jinping was notably active in Moscow, attending the Victory Parade and holding extensive talks with Putin. He reportedly advised on war strategy and diplomatic posture.

What did Xi say about Donald Trump?

Xi allegedly warned Putin not to trust U.S. President Trump, calling him “a volatile Western counterpart known for reversals and rhetorical unpredictability” and suggesting he is prone to betrayal. The warning underscores Beijing’s view of Washington’s unpredictability.

How is China positioning itself in relation to Russia right now?

Xi offered assurances of Chinese support if new Western sanctions are imposed. While the Russian Politburo expressed caution, Moscow’s reliance on Beijing is growing — both economically and diplomatically.

What does Shoigu’s fall suggest about internal dynamics in the Kremlin?

His sidelining may reflect broader efforts to reshuffle or purge the elite amid war fatigue, public discontent, and shifting loyalties. It also signals a rebalancing of influence within Putin’s inner circle.