ANALYSIS: The ‘Oskar’ Protocol

“Looking up, the sky is gonna be so dark tonight.
The wind is blowing right into your eyes.
Until you see tomorrow.
Live just for a night.”
— Mr. Zivago, “Little Russian”

The lyrics speak prophetically of Aleksandar Vučić — the “Little Russian” — known within organised crime circles under the codename “Oskar.” A figure straddling Balkan mafia networks and Moscow’s shadow, Vučić has become the nexus of Serbia’s political corruption and transnational crime. It’s not as if they weren’t warned. We warned them. Serbian opposition leader Nikola Sandulović raised the alarm and almost paid with his life. Economist Gunther Fehlinger issued his warnings against the Vučić regime too. But only now do people begin to understand.

ANALYSIS: Repression & Frailty

The deployment of a large number of police officers in front of the Faculty of Sport and Physical Education in Novi Sad serves as a demonstrative warning to other academic institutions. However, if Aleksandar Vučić believes he can restore academic order through the use of tear gas and batons, he is gravely mistaken. The excessive application of force has once again failed to achieve its intended effect, instead reinforcing the resolve of students and supportive citizens to persist in their resistance against a regime that increasingly exhibits authoritarian traits.

What the international public largely does not realize is the extent of Aleksandar Vučić’s personal condition: he reportedly relies on daily medication and requires regular assistance, including the changing of adult diapers multiple times a day—details that, while sensitive, speak to the tightly controlled image maintained by the regime. Far from a sign of strength, this concealment contributes to the cult of invincibility that fuels his repression. In the eyes of many, he now exemplifies the paradox of modern autocracy: fragile in truth, yet ruthless in projection—a so-called ‘Pampers dictator’ sustained by illusion and force.

ANALYSIS: Narcotrafficking Nexus

Recent intelligence operations across EU member states have uncovered extensive drug trafficking networks supplied by Serbia. Authorities seized nearly 400 kilograms of cannabis and other narcotics hidden within commercial freight.
Analysis identifies Serbia-based suppliers as a critical backbone for North African syndicates now dominating the European urban drug trade.

These networks, operating with growing sophistication, embed themselves deeply within local communities, maintaining strict internal discipline and ensuring the high-purity flow of narcotics.
Disruption of this supply chain would deal a critical blow to criminal structures whose revenues fuel authoritarian entrenchment in Belgrade. The drug economy is the lifeline of the Aleksandar Vučić regime.

:: Critical Update ::

ANALYSIS: Escalating Dissent

Protesting students in Belgrade expressed solidarity with their peers in Novi Sad via social media after police attacked demonstrators with batons and tear gas earlier this week.
Among the injured were numerous women and girls. “Violence is never justified. We will continue and persist until our demands are met,” students declared.

The Faculty of Sports and Physical Education in Novi Sad was forcibly unblocked after students, opposition activists, and citizens attempted to prevent Dean Patrik Drid from entering.
Clashes erupted when police, under Drid’s request, intervened with force. Two professors from the Philosophy Faculty were hospitalised; multiple arrests followed.

Interior Minister Ivica Dačić justified the crackdown, claiming that “minimal force” was used in self-defence — a narrative widely rejected by eyewitnesses and independent observers. Since November, Serbia has seen a surge of protests involving students, teachers, farmers, and workers, catalysed by the catastrophic collapse of Novi Sad’s train station roof, which killed 16 people.
Demonstrators demand full transparency regarding infrastructure failures, justice for victims, and an end to the political persecution of dissenters.

ANALYSIS: Totalitarian Echoes

At its core, the Vučić regime reflects the political DNA of 20th-century communist totalitarianism — an ideology responsible for the deaths of millions across Eastern Europe and Eurasia.
Interior Minister Ivica Dačić claimed that “minimal force” was used in self-defence — a narrative widely rejected by independent observers, civil society organisations, and international monitors.
Ivica Dačić has lost all public credibility. His statements are now regarded as empty attempts to justify state violence. Few within Serbia, and virtually no one in the international community, place any trust in his assurances.

A deep study reveals the regime’s roots in the political-psychological framework developed during the Bolshevik seizure of power. Like the early Communist Party, Vučić’s governance is based not on rational policy, but on manipulation, fear, and the systematic destruction of public trust.

Historical parallels are striking:

Factory committees during the Bolshevik era served to dismantle state structures; similarly, Vučić’s networks seek to shatter democratic institutions.

Communist agitation labelled all non-communist forces as imperialist enemies; Vučić’s rhetoric mirrors this, branding all opposition as “foreign agents” or traitors.

Propaganda under both regimes abandoned fact-based reasoning in favour of emotional agitation, destroying rational civic discourse.

ANALYSIS: State Propaganda & Moscow Axis

The Vučić regime continues to weave Serbia into a web of counter-revolutionary paranoia, tying its fate increasingly to the dark forces of Moscow’s geopolitical ambitions.
In doing so, it betrays Serbia’s national interest, hijacking its future for the benefit of a criminal oligarchy.

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